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  • Book launch: Actor Aamir Khan releases The Third Curve – Ecologise
    It therefore makes a simple yet amazingly unreasonable assumption that we have limitless energy and resources on a finite planet to perpetuate exponential growth indefinitely This assumption appeared to hold true for the last 150 years the first half of oil reserves And we are now at the halfway point which is an unprecedented point in history and is called Peak Oil Peak Oil is not an ideology but an aspect of geology And the laws of geology behave in a bell curve with a peak in the middle Now begins the second half of the story of oil The global economic collapse of 2008 was the result of this turning point because past the peak we get only less oil Therefore less industrial and economic growth This spells doom to the religion of perpetual economic growth Therefore this book is NOT directly about morality justice equity environmental consciousness and other noble human values It is about the head on collision between Our total acceptance of an infinite economic growth model which is not possible Our total denial of the finiteness of the earth which is evident Testimonials Khan lucidly presents the counterpoint to the ideas of perpetual growth a keen penetrative look at the state of our natural resources and the laws of energy that govern our hopes and plans for the future The Third Curve offers an original argument intricately researched and vividly presented While not everyone will agree with his conclusions Khan offers a valuable blueprint of insights for policy makers and decision makers who might want to consider his view of the pitfalls and consequences of exponential growth Densely argued but engaging The Third Curve marks an intriguing debut Shashi Tharoor Author Ex Under Secretary General U N and Minister of State for HRD Govt of India A clear sharp articulation of the insanity and absurdity of the economic assumption that we can have perpetual limitless growth on a planet with ecological limits Peak oil climate chaos the food crisis the financial crisis are different aspects of interconnected crises triggered by an obsolete paradigm of perpetual growth We need a new paradigm based on the ecological reality of the planet And Mansoor Khan s new book is vital reading for anyone wanting to participate in evolving a new paradigm Vandana Shiva Author and Environmental Activist Future economic collapses may well be possible if we move on growth paths that do not recognize the finiteness of resources and the fragility of ecosystems The Third Curve points to the need for business and finance to get real Dr Ligia Noronha Executive Director Research Coordination The Energy and Resources Institute TERI New Delhi Mansoor has tackled some very complex concepts without compromising on their importance While this is a book that will certainly generate much debate on both sides I am certain that those who read it will thoroughly enjoy it I wish him all success and hope he continues his study into this field which is greatly in need of more scholarly work such as this Jairam Ramesh Economist and current Minister of Rural Development Govt of India About Mansoor Khan An alumnus of IIT Mumbai Cornell University and MIT Boston Mansoor Khan began his career as a film maker and went on to make feature films that won several national awards Mansoor wrote produced and directed telefilm Umberto Directed feature film Qayamat Se Qayamat Tak starring Aamir Khan and Juhi Chawla He also wrote and directed his second film Jo Jeeta Wohi Sikander Akele Hum Akele Tum and directed feature film Josh In 2003 he moved to Coonoor to realize his life s aspiration of starting a self supporting organic farm Spread over 22 acres the farm Acres Wild plays host to those seeking an alternative lifestyle experience The Third Curve is the outcome of Mansoor s own journey an extensively researched piece of work that examines the co relation between the compulsions of economic growth and the limits imposed on us by Nature Questioning the efficacy of the modern industrial world The Third Curve unfolds truths that civilization might perforce have to accept not merely as a possibility but as a way of life Mansoor has delivered lectures on various aspects of The Third Curve at institutions like the Indian School of Business Indian Institute of Management The Foreign Services Institute CEO Club Bangalore Bombay Chartered Accountants Association and Morgan Stanley The author can be contacted at khan net FAQ s What inspired you to question the concept of perpetual growth The simple truth is that I was inspired by reality The reality that is unfolding all around is that of collapsing economics When you understand energy you can see the correlation between energy and economics and this is not the way we look at the world We only see it through the money lens not the energy lens And energy is the true currency of the universe I realised that most people are not aware of the reality of Peak Oil which is that we crossed the highest point of oil extraction that is possible from the earth in 2005 and beyond that we go into global energy decline and that automatically results in shrinkage of the industrial world and marks the end of growth And even if some people are aware of Peak Oil they are not aware of energy principles and so assume that it is very easy to find some other source of energy to run the world the way we have been doing so far So the 2008 economic collapse based on the reality of peaking of oil in 2005 was no surprise to people like me who were studying reality of energy and in fact predicting the collapse Post 2008 I felt it was high time to write a book as now people would be more receptive because they were actually experiencing the real effects of energy decline manifested in shrinking economics all over the world Are you providing a

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  • ECONOMY – Page 2 – Ecologise
    abiotic resources through a novel approach based on the Second Law of Thermodynamics Continue Reading In spite of cool advertising electric cars also damage the environment Written by Hema Vaishnavi Mar 23 2016 1 Comment In the Union Budget the government has decided to exempt the new age cesses on electric and hybrid cars But are these green cars really green They do not pollute the areas that they are being used in because all they are doing is move the pollution from the point of movement to the source of electricity Continue Reading Bookshelf When trucks stop running so does civilization Written by Contributor Mar 23 2016 0 Comments Virtually everything in our homes everything in our stores got there on a truck Prior to that 90 percent of those items were transported on a ship and or a train If trucks trains and ships stopped running our global economy and way of life would stop too Alice Friedemann s new book examines precisely this prospect Continue Reading Bookshelf Failed What the experts got wrong about the global economy Written by Contributor Mar 21 2016 0 Comments Author Mark Weisbrot says Behind almost every prolonged economic malfeasance there is some combination of outworn bad ideas incompetence and the malign influence of powerful special interests Unfortunately such nightmares are repeated in other places because even if the lessons are learned they are not taken to heart by the people who call the shots Continue Reading On burning ground The human cost of India s push to produce more coal Written by Contributor Mar 20 2016 0 Comments Fred Pearce reports As part of India s modernization program Prime Minister Narenda Modi has called for doubling the nation s coal production by 2020 If it moves forward India seems set to create a mounting tide of victims from the cycle wallahs and refugees of Jharia s coal fires to the country s air quality to the planet s climate Continue Reading Bookshelf Shrinking the Technosphere by Dmitry Orlov Written by Contributor Mar 18 2016 0 Comments My hypothesis let s call it the Technospheratu hypothesis is that the technosphere having risen up on top of and in opposition to Gaia and the biosphere possesses a certain primitive emergent intelligence that allows it to grow in complexity and power and to dominate the biosphere to an ever greater extent Unlike Gaia it is a parasite upon the biosphere Continue Reading India s rising Corporate Military Complex A critical appraisal Written by Contributor Mar 15 2016 0 Comments Rahul Varman writes Bauxite or iron mines are opened up by grabbing people s lands and homes against great resistance and UAVs and other increasingly sophisticated weapons are used to quell this resistance The corporate sector benefits both from the mining as well as the demand for weapons demand which is independent of the vagaries of the market system Continue Reading Gail Tverberg We are at Peak Oil now we need very low cost energy

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/category/economy/page/2/ (2016-05-02)
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  • Education & Awareness – Page 2 – Ecologise
    may have beneficial effects on our health and well being but it ll damage our understanding of environmental issues and therefore our understanding of science Continue Reading Can environmentalism learn from religion Written by Contributor Mar 18 2016 0 Comments Kurt Cobb writes While it might seem tempting to downplay the nexus between religion and environmentalism in order to bolster environmentalism s scientific underpinnings I think this would be a serious mistake The effectiveness of religious rhetoric suggests that environmentalists ought not to discard it but rather figure out how to harness it even more effectively Continue Reading The Revolution is Love A missive from Charles Eisenstein Written by Contributor Mar 14 2016 0 Comments This is why so many seasoned activists succumb to despair after decades of struggle Do you think we can beat the military industrial financial agricultural pharmaceutical NGO educational political complex at its own game But the modern environmental movement and most especially the climate change movement has attempted just that risking defeat but also often worsening the situation even in its victories Continue Reading Announcing Ecologise Camp 4 near Thally Tamil Nadu Written by Ecologise Feb 16 2016 0 Comments Dates April 16 17 2016 Venue A Small Three Acre Farm Asta Farm Hosur Thally Road Krishnagiri District Tamil Nadu Land custodians Gracy Elezebeth Vijay Kundaji Contacts Vijayendra v j y n r a l c m 91 94907 05634 Vijay Kundaji v j u a m l o 91 98450 87530 Gracy Elezebeth gr vi ya c 91 94484 82572 When the last tree has been cut down the last fish caught the last river poisoned Continue Reading Charles Eisenstein Climate Change grief and carbon reductionism Written by Contributor Feb 13 2016 0 Comments People are not going to be frightened into caring Scientific evidence based predictions about what will happen 10 20 or 50 years in the future are not going to make them care not enough That requires making it personal And that requires facing the reality of loss And that requires experiencing grief There s no other way Continue Reading German forest ranger finds that trees have social networks too Written by Contributor Feb 5 2016 0 Comments Peter Wohlleben has delighted readers with the news long known to biologists that trees are social beings They can count learn and remember nurse sick neighbors warn each other of danger and for reasons unknown keep ancient stumps of their long felled companions alive for centuries by feeding them a sugar solution through their roots Continue Reading Ideas inspiration and ducks Letter from an Ecologise Camp participant Written by Contributor Feb 3 2016 0 Comments Venetia Ansell writes The camp is a great opportunity to meet people who are trying to make the transition from urban to rural or at least high impact to low impact lifestyles to find inspiration role models ideas and perhaps answers to those questions and challenges that well meaning conventional thinking relatives and friends keep hurling at you

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/category/education-awareness/page/2/ (2016-05-02)
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  • ENERGY – Page 2 – Ecologise
    notion that we can just continue as we are with an endless supply of oil endless supplies of meat and endless assault on soil human and environmental well being that intensive petrochemical agriculture entails Given the statistics this is unsustainable unrealistic and a recipe for continued resource driven conflicts and devastation Continue Reading Tverberg A market collapse is on the horizon Written by Contributor Feb 11 2016 0 Comments Gail Tverberg writes We are about to see a substantial disruption to the economy as oil limits as well as other energy limits cause the economic supercycle to contract Whether its Peak Oil the Limits to Growth or the Debt Supercycle the underlying problem is the same we re reaching the limits of a finite world Continue Reading NEWS UPDATE 82 Written by Ecologise Feb 8 2016 0 Comments Decision On GM Mustard Deferred Mining interests and tribal rights on collision course Former atomic energy regulator says India needs to pause nuclear plans Lesser water recorded in Indian reservoirs than last year Sikkim Organic Mission We Need To Dig Deeper Hydro dam boom threatens freshwater fish Radioactive Water From Fukushima Leaking Into the Pacific Continue Reading Fifteen experts on the hidden consequences of the oil crash Written by Contributor Feb 4 2016 0 Comments Oil prices drive not just economics but geopolitics Alliances rise and fall over petroleum For these reasons and more the collapsing value of oil will have profound consequences with the potential to destabilize regimes remake regions and alter the global economy in lasting and unforeseen ways Fifteen experts tell Politico what that means for the world Continue Reading Paris Climate Summit A success A failure Or a fraud Written by Bhamy Shenoy Jan 28 2016 0 Comments Bhamy Shenoy writes in Deccan Herald There is a comforting thought that the fall in solar energy and wind energy prices and their greater adaption will provide solution to reduce the use of fossil fuels Often ignored or overlooked reality is the difficulty in reforming the existing energy scenario both in the developed and developing countries Continue Reading Tverberg Something Has Got To Break Written by Contributor Jan 18 2016 0 Comments Gail Tverberg explains the correlation between rates of GDP growth and growth in energy supply For decades energy has been becoming more costly to obtain but instead of accepting lower GDP growth we have been using debt to fund further energy extraction That strategy has diminishing returns and we are close to the moment of reckoning Continue Reading NEWS UPDATE 79 Written by Ecologise Jan 12 2016 0 Comments The Times of India reports Distress conditions forced about 6 lakh people from Rayalaseema where the major crop is groundnut to move to cities in 2015 It works out to migration of around 1 600 persons per day last year Although the rate dipped in November and December due to the ongoing cultivation the trend continues Continue Reading Why technology cannot adequately address climate change Written by Sagar Dhara

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/category/energy/page/2/ (2016-05-02)
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  • Fifteen experts on the hidden consequences of the oil crash – Ecologise
    pivotal issues of 2016 and probably beyond Oil prices are notoriously hard to predict but every indication is that they will not go up markedly and may drop further Countries like Saudi Arabia that were once able to manipulate prices with OPEC agreements have lost that ability in part because counterparts especially those already in deep trouble Venezuela or those coming back online Iran want to chase market share by pumping freely Moreover if a major producer looks for supply cutting allies outside OPEC they will trigger a catch 22 phenomenon If prices go up it will re energize U S shale entrepreneurs who have cut back investments due to low oil prices but who are agile enough to reenter the market quickly pushing production back up and limiting the impact of restraint elsewhere The political impact is likely to be strongest among countries especially in the Persian Gulf that have invested billions in social programs and subsidies to discourage Arab Spring like protests And in Russia which needs oil prices north of 100 per barrel to meet its budget projections the time honored response to economic hardship is to mobilize nationalist sentiment with foreign adventures one of the multiple motives for Putin s plunge into Syria What keeps the Middle East s countries together when the oil money runs out Ian Bremmer is president of the Eurasia Group Geopolitically the impact of low oil prices is concentrated in the Middle East where political structures are brittle and based on oil wealth supported patronage Across the region there are immediate and direct security threats without any social political or economic reform processes in place to address the challenges these regimes face from the inside What keeps these countries together as well as those that rely on them for support when the oil money runs out The United States China and Japan the world s three largest economies benefit mightily from being far away from those tensions Europe not so much It could become the mother of all oil crises Gal Luft is co director of the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security High gas prices dominated the past three presidential elections and encouraged politicians to address one of America s most notable vulnerabilities the dependence on oil as the sole source of energy powering our transportation sector But with the collapse of oil prices this dependency has become a non issue and America s commitment to wean itself from petroleum has gone by the wayside We have been here before The response to the oil crises of the late 1970s increased oil production worldwide and enhanced energy efficiency caused prices to fall in the subsequent decade The party didn t last for long Between 1998 and 2008 oil prices rose seven fold triggering the Great Recession This might happen again if the global economy snaps back from its stagnation As long as the global transportation sector cars trucks ships planes is married to oil and as long as most of the world s conventional crude reserves are in the hands of repressive regimes it s only a matter of time before prices head back to triple digits Just like the perfect storm of price depressing factors that brought us to the current ebb the current situation in the oil market holds the seeds of what could become the mother of all oil crises If we veer away from trying to open the transportation sector to fuels made from resources other than oil the party will end with a bad hangover Now is the time for presidential candidates to tell us what they intend to do when oil prices go back up T Boone Pickens is chairman and CEO of BP Capital and architect of the Pickens Plan an energy plan for America I have been through boom and bust cycles in the oil and gas industry all my life Each one has had one thing in common Because no political leader had the foresight to enact an energy plan when prices were reasonable when prices went too high or low there was surprise and distress The Saudis are risking everything on their misguided attempt to destroy America s shale oil and gas industry We have shut down thousands of rigs and shed 200 000 jobs New investment is non existent and nations around the world from the Middle East to Central America whose economies are wholly dependent on oil exports are on the brink of economic collapse It doesn t matter whether oil bottoms out at 29 or 27 a barrel What matters is that for the first time in a half century we look over the horizon and plan for the day when supplies begin to thin when economies begin to recover and when oil prices begin to move back up Now is the time for presidential candidates to tell us what they intend to do when oil prices go back up probably very quickly Waiting until that happens and responding with shock and a demand for congressional hearings is just not enough It s always good to have a plan How about we start with a North American Energy Alliance The dip may help strengthen the long term prospects of alternative energy Dan Esty is Hillhouse professor at Yale University Many energy market experts see 30 barrels of oil as a threat to clean energy investments particularly renewable power projects But this conclusion reflects too narrow a view of the world Just as today s low oil price is a function of the forces of supply and demand at a particular moment in time the market for renewable power has various supply and demand pressures that shape the flow of investment into wind power solar arrays and other kinds of alternative energy Thus while a low oil price raises the bar on what it will take to make a renewable power project cost effective in the coming years the December 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change offers a dramatic countervailing signal to clean energy markets promising a dramatic increase in the demand for clean energy over coming decades As a result investment in renewable power remains robust In fact the likely short term drop in fossil fuel costs may help strengthen the long term prospects of alternative energy If the developers of wind solar and other alternative energy projects are forced to cut costs their technologies will be more cost competitive over time When you hear that cheap oil sounds the death knell for clean energy don t bet on it Good for American consumers and U S foreign policy John Deutch is an emeritus Institute professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massively lower oil and gas prices are good for American consumers and U S foreign policy That will be true for as long as the prices last which will likely be one or two more years doubtfully for five years and almost certainly not for a decade But the low prices have a cost too and the stresses they cause are not hidden Increased consumption of carbon emitting fossil fuels lower profits for private oil companies major challenges for firms seeking to introduce clean energy technologies and economic difficulties for major resource holders account for just some of the strain Some countries most affected by the low price of oil Russia Saudi Arabia and Venezuela most notably may face political instability as a result It is difficult to predict whether those changes will lead to political shifts to the left or right but they re unlikely to affect the flow of oil and gas to world markets These prices spell the downfall of frail governments Terry Lynn Karl is professor of Political Science at Stanford University and author of The Paradox of Plenty Oil Booms and Petrostates Brace yourself for another stomach churning ride While predicting changes in the price of oil is a fool s errand at least two volatile scenarios lie ahead and neither is promising On the one hand oil prices are likely to stay unacceptably low through 2016 On the other today s bust is likely to lay the basis for a sharp price spike down the road Today s oil glut is different from those of the past It is due to the near doubling of U S production of shale oil since 2009 as well as the response of Saudi Arabia and other petroleum exporters to this unwelcome competition In the short term the lifting of sanctions against Iranian oil will not help While prices in the 20 30 per barrel range were once considered beneficial to the economy and the stock market this is no longer the case Low prices have led to painful budget cuts in North Dakota Texas Louisiana New Mexico Alaska and California a 300 billion decline in capital investment in future extraction this year alone the bankruptcies of dozens of energy companies and the undercutting of incentives to build alternative clean energy Most immediately low prices are a catalyst for the rise in global conflict Cheap oil translates into huge revenue losses and increased poverty especially for Russia Brazil and Mexico but also for Canada In the 10 OPEC countries where oil comprises more than 85 percent of export revenue the consequences are especially dire Where regime stability rests on a classic oil pact that is the provision of economic benefits to key constituencies in exchange for political support or at least passivity low prices create a toxic mix of weak currencies inflation growing debt budget and trade deficits rising food prices cuts in essential services and soaring poverty Such a grim prognosis traditionally spells the downfall of fragile governments and sometimes even regimes that appear stable In Venezuela which is already in a constitutional crisis this year s projected 10 percent economic contraction will plunge its extremely polarized population into even more intense civil conflict The already dangerous situation in the Middle East and North Africa will be intensified Because national boundaries in that region are not resolved and political institutions are crumbling the grim economic forecast for oil exporting governments makes them less capable of appeasing their populations or securing their oil facilities and pipelines in the face of vicious insurgencies The Islamic State for example lives off the earnings from oil fields in Syria and Iraq and similar dynamics fund Boko Haram in Nigeria and al Qaeda affiliates in Central Asia and the Caucasus Ironically one likely impact of this oil glut is a future price spike Despite all the current hype only a relatively thin margin separates surplus from shortage Global crude oil production has already dropped substantially with U S production falling to 2008 levels The delayed actions of major producers like Chevron and ExxonMobil which are holding off planned large scale oil projects and hence millions of barrels of future supply has the potential to fuel a surge in prices as early as next year And widespread conflict in oil regions exacerbated by low and unstable oil prices could significantly disrupt supply at almost any time Oil related violence underlies almost all of today s major hotspots even those conflicts that appear solely ethnic or religious in nature including the Syrian Civil War and its spillover into Iraq growing tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia and the continued civil unrest in Yemen Afghanistan South Sudan Nigeria Algeria Somalia Libya and the Sahel Russia and the Ukraine and Venezuela to name a few Many of these governments including notably Russia and Saudi Arabia have every incentive to take aggressive nationalist political action abroad to deflect attention from deteriorating economic conditions at home Whether oil prices stay too low or suddenly spike their very volatility perilously whiplashes both winners and losers destabilizes economies and polities and encourages war a compelling reason to look for new sources of energy just in case climate change alone was not enough reason to get off the fossil fuel roller coaster This is an ideal time for the U S to shape an agenda of its own in the Middle East Stephen Kinzer is a senior fellow in International and Public Affairs at the Watson Institute of International Public Affairs at Brown University One of the great weaknesses of American foreign policy is the glacial pace with which it changes as the world changes Radical reordering of the global energy market gives the United States tantalizing new foreign policy options If history is any guide we will not consider them Instead we ll remain wedded to policies of the past For decades we had to embrace the foreign policy agendas of Persian Gulf sheikhs because we needed their oil and their support in our confrontation with the Soviet Union The drop in oil prices and sharp rise in domestic production along with the end of the Cold War freed us from that bondage but we choose to remain trapped This is an ideal time for the United States to shape an agenda of its own in the Middle East one that embodies our own security needs rather than those of our partners It could drive Russia and Iran closer together and strengthen Saudi U S ties Dennis Ross is the William Davidson fistinguished fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy There is no reason to expect that oil prices will rise any time soon The Saudis will keep producing at high rates not just to preserve market share and deny the Iranians any excessive benefits from sanctions relief but also to reduce incentives to keep rigs operating investing in new pipelines and spending on exploration of new fields The Saudis expect that in time this will affect supply and bring the price back up It requires patience on their part because it could well take 2 3 years to rebalance the market the way the Saudis expect The Russians and Iranians will surely suffer from the low oil prices In the case of the Russians this could lead to increasing coercive pressure on the Saudis Will this give the Russians additional incentives to team with the Iranians to apply direct and indirect pressure on the Saudis It could It surely gives the Saudis a stake in preserving close ties with the United States While the Saudis don t have much trust in the Obama administration they will not let their ties to us diminish and they ll look to the next administration to strengthen U S commitments to their security Low oil prices are unambiguously good for global welfare Robert N Stavins is Albert Pratt professor of Business Government John F Kennedy School of Government Harvard University and director Harvard Environmental Economics Program When one examines virtually any significant price change from an economic perspective there inevitably seems to be both good and bad news That s the case with the fall in crude oil prices There can be a major impact on the U S motor fuels sector where the market for biofuels is negatively affected by low conventional gasoline prices These impacts must be somewhat muted by public policies that subsidize the use of biofuels Low gasoline prices have also resulted in decreased demand by consumers for motor vehicles with high fuel efficiency and sales of SUVs and pickup trucks have rebounded from previous lows When prices are low people drive more and use more fuel which means more emissions and congestion There is upside to these changes in crude oil markets Low oil prices are unambiguously good for global welfare Consumers will see an increase in disposable income amounting to nearly 2 500 per U S household annually according to Stephen Brown If we account for the income losses to U S oil producers the net gain per U S household amounts to a bit more than 800 per year with benefits accruing disproportionately to low income households With gas prices low and natural gas supplies holding down electricity prices in the United States there has never been a better time to introduce progressive climate policies in the form of carbon pricing whether via carbon taxes or through carbon cap and trade Unfortunately none of us should hold our breath waiting for that to happen The game is getting dangerous not just for the Saudis but for the entire world Amory B Lovins is cofounder and chief scientist at the Rocky Mountain Institute The rotted remains of primeval swamp goo that fuel four fifths of today s economy are on their way out and not a moment too soon Yoyoing oil prices obscure a striking underlying trend Like whale oil in the 1850s petroleum has become uncompetitive even at low prices before it becomes unavailable even at high prices Oil companies are now even more at risk from market competition than from climate regulation because over the long run more of their oil is unsellable than unburnable In 2015 modern renewable energy sources set new records up 4 percent in investment and 30 percent in capacity additions the gap reflecting renewables plummeting prices Persian Gulf states are already switching their own power supplies to solar because it s cheaper than local oil Even if the sheikhs with their vast financial reserves do ultimately crush competition from fracking that will have the side effect of reducing their U S natural gas co production making gas costlier and renewables even more attractive But a word of caution What s sinking oil prices is Saudi Arabia s logical refusal to give up market share to higher cost competitors by unilaterally cutting its own output Oil exporters suffering from low prices now include not just bystanders like Nigeria and Venezuela but also Iran newly empowered by the lifting of nuclear sanctions and eager to earn more by resuming oil exports Now Russia is in the neighborhood too militarily formidable the master of covert disguised and proxy warfare and likely to run out of money this year or next Much higher oil prices and

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  • Economic collapse: How to face it without fear – Ecologise
    way As the markets big banks currencies institutions an oil company or two etc begin to crash one by one more people will join category three That is they will get into panic mode without pausing to understand why it is happening I am writing to reassure you that it is indeed possible to wrap your head around the new emerging reality It does not take a financial maverick to foresee collapse and it is by no means my discovery I just saw the patterns emerging before most people simply because I was paying attention to facts and trends all in public domain some for decades which are otherwise ignored by those who dominate the mainstream narrative It also helps to have an independent mind Three years ago 20th Feb 2013 I gave a talk at India Habitat Centre New Delhi with the title Unlimited Growth Climate Change and Notions of Pralaya dissolution One section of my presentation out of five was devoted to an analysis that showed the possibility of beginning of collapse in 2015 The slides showed graphs modelling in just a few short years thereafter dramatic decline in industrial output services food and population along with an increase in death rates around the same time Yes we are right on track And yes I repeat there s no reason to panic It s probably too late now to begin to prepare to be in the ideal situation yet the humble and the wise can still take action that will allow them to face the end of the economy without fear The very first and the most important step is to try to understand And remain patient while you do so It will take time Prepare to devote time if you wish to secure your future How can one possibly make sense out of behaviour never seen before such as markets crashing like a house of cards you say Well the key guideline when you re trying to understand is to ignore the transient and the detail Zoom out a bit Focus on the big picture instead the fundamentals the underlying patterns the unchanging and the inter connectedness of the various factors I cannot lay out the big picture here This is not the space to summarise several different concepts for which multiple books have been written There are numerous ways of framing our current predicament and I do not consider any single one as the most definitive of all But there are some ways of framing that are easier to understand and relate And there are people who have the gift to convey the complex in simple ways I suggest the following resources The Predicament Resources economics frame Small is Beautiful by E F Schumacher Limits to Growth by Meadows et al The Party s Over by Richard Heinberg The Third Curve by Mansoor Khan The Enemy of Nature by Joel Kovel The Enigma of Capital by David Harvey The Crash Course by PeakProsperity com video series

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  • Finance & Debt – Page 2 – Ecologise
    to see Bala on Subhash Palekar From farmer to national treasure RAMESHWAR NAYAK on Subhash Palekar From farmer to national treasure Hareesh on Subhash Palekar From farmer to national treasure H R Prakash on When communalists turns on environmentalists Ashok Kundapur on In spite of cool advertising electric cars also damage the environment Tags activism agrarian crisis agriculture air pollution alternatives Books capitalism carbon emissions China Climate Change coal corporate rule deforestation development ecological conflict economic growth education awareness energy extreme weather events food security fossil fuels future scenarios Gail Tverberg global economy green politics India inequality Kurt Cobb Narendra Modi government neoliberalism oil prices organic farming Paris climate talks peak oil Renewable energy resource depletion resource extraction Richard Heinberg rural India Sagar Dhara Sustainability Transition videos water crisis weather patterns Archives Archives Select Month May 2016 4 April 2016 51 March 2016 46 February 2016 31 January 2016 27 December 2015 31 November 2015 29 October 2015 19 September 2015 12 August 2015 13 July 2015 9 June 2015 11 May 2015 13 April 2015 12 March 2015 16 February 2015 17 January 2015 10 December 2014 10 November 2014 10 October 2014 10 September 2014 11 August 2014 7 July 2014 5 June 2014 7 May 2014 2 April 2014 3 March 2014 4 February 2014 1 January 2014 2 December 2013 3 November 2013 2 October 2013 8 Special Features Finance Debt Charles Eisenstein Everything You ve Been Told About Debt Is Wrong Written by Contributor Aug 24 2015 0 Comments With the United States household debt burden at 11 85 trillion even the most modest challenges to its legitimacy have revolutionary implications Charles Eisenstein Yes Magazine The legitimacy of a given social order rests on the legitimacy of its debts Even in ancient times this was

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  • Food & Farming – Page 2 – Ecologise
    record strong El Niño that s bumped up temperatures to never before seen levels since at least 1880 Continue Reading Subhash Palekar From farmer to national treasure Written by Manu Sharma Feb 18 2016 5 Comments He did not form a people s movement Nor did he plead with the government to popularise his natural farming method Palekar took a more direct route instead He reached out to the farmers Met them in person and trained them in his cultivation practices He continues to spread awareness and hold training workshops for farmers Continue Reading NEWS UPDATE 83 Written by Ecologise Feb 17 2016 0 Comments Common Dreams reports A new analysis published in Science Advances journal reveals that global water scarcity is a far greater problem than previously thought affecting 4 billion people two thirds of the world s population Previous analyses looked at water scarcity at an annual scale and had found that water scarcity affected between 1 7 and 3 1 billion people Continue Reading Announcing Ecologise Camp 4 near Thally Tamil Nadu Written by Ecologise Feb 16 2016 0 Comments Dates April 16 17 2016 Venue A Small Three Acre Farm Asta Farm Hosur Thally Road Krishnagiri District Tamil Nadu Land custodians Gracy Elezebeth Vijay Kundaji Contacts Vijayendra t en mai m 91 94907 05634 Vijay Kundaji v j u a i m i c 91 98450 87530 Gracy Elezebeth c a h o 91 94484 82572 When the last tree has been cut down the last fish caught the last river poisoned Continue Reading Arms Agribusiness Finance and Fossil Fuels The Four Horsemen of the Neoliberal Apocalypse Written by Contributor Feb 16 2016 0 Comments Colin Todhunter writes There is a notion that we can just continue as we are with an endless supply of oil endless supplies of meat and endless assault on soil human and environmental well being that intensive petrochemical agriculture entails Given the statistics this is unsustainable unrealistic and a recipe for continued resource driven conflicts and devastation Continue Reading India s high growth rate and the price of food Written by Contributor Feb 10 2016 1 Comment Sudipto Mundle writes India s current high growth is organically linked to food price inflation and the rising margin between the wholesale and retail price of food Should we continue to celebrate India s status as the world s fastest growing economy while leaving it to consumers to cope with rising food prices as best as they can Continue Reading NEWS UPDATE 82 Written by Ecologise Feb 8 2016 0 Comments Decision On GM Mustard Deferred Mining interests and tribal rights on collision course Former atomic energy regulator says India needs to pause nuclear plans Lesser water recorded in Indian reservoirs than last year Sikkim Organic Mission We Need To Dig Deeper Hydro dam boom threatens freshwater fish Radioactive Water From Fukushima Leaking Into the Pacific Continue Reading Ideas inspiration and ducks Letter from an Ecologise Camp participant Written by Contributor Feb 3 2016

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