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  • Peak Oil from the Demand Side: A Prophetic New Model – Ecologise
    discussion of peak oil is on the maximum rates of conventional oil production Apart from issues over how this term is defined results suggest that focussing on an exclusive or narrow definition of oil belies the true complexity of oil production and can lead to somewhat misleading conclusions The more narrow the definition of oil that is considered e g by excluding certain categories of oil such as light tight oil or Arctic oil the more likely it is that this will reach a peak and subsequent decline but the less relevant such an event would be Advocates for peak oil often try to fit oil production to a curve based solely on an idealized image of production Indeed when nothing unusual happens on the downslope oil production looks like a Hubbert curve especially on micro levels But at the macro levels unusual things do happen for example the shale boom McGlade argues that pessimists have failed to acknowledge that now that conventional oil has reached its peak we should not expect a smooth ride down but rather we should expect the unexpected such as discoveries of new methods of production or adjustments in demand Oil production is an artificial not a geological process and nothing about the way oil is produced at the macro level demands that it must look like a bell curve Of course it is impossible to actually know what factors will really affect demand at a global scale but the IEA considers two central scenarios which McGlade aims to apply to the future of oil p 174 One is the low carbon scenario LCS in which the world s governments take immediate and unprecedented action to keep anthropogenic warming below 2 C The other is the new policies scenario NPS where new policies are adopted but are insufficient for capping the temperature rise This is assumed by the IEA to be what current green energy policy is actually pointing towards McGlade does not even bother to model the IEA s current policies scenario aka business as usual where very little is done to stop carbon emissions It is hard to know whether the NPS has actually been implemented by IEA member states but we will see that the NPS is disastrous enough Figure 10 12 Production of oil in the United Kingdom in NPS top and LCS bottom Here is a sample modeling of NPS and LCS showing future production in Britain Notice how much environmental policy can do to limit oil production LCS looks a bit like a bumpy version of a Hubbert curve while NPS the greenwashed business as usual scenario envisions the exploitation of currently unused fallow fields in order to feed higher demand If we are concerned only with supply we might glance at these graphs and assume naively that this shows a healthy supply meeting demand for both LCS and NPS In fact this is not the case The graph for NPS actually displays an insufficient supply for world needs

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/06/13/peak-oil-from-the-demand-side-a-prophetic-new-model/ (2016-05-02)
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  • News update – Ecologise
    Hyderabad Understand and combat Hyderabad s water problems through rain water harvesting Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 15th May 2016 15th May 2016 Thought for Food at Palampur Himachal Pradesh Workshop on eating responsibly sharing strategies and tools for doing so Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 18th May 2016 22nd May 2016 Two short courses on Development at Azim Premji University Bangalore Designed for professionals working in various domains of development Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 24th May 2016 3rd June 2016 View All Events Special Features News update Written by Ecologise Jun 9 2015 0 Comments G7 End of fossil fuel era BBC News The G7 has called for a transformation of electricity generation towards renewables and nuclear by 2050 And they said fossil fuel should not be burned in any sector of the economy by the end of the century Their targets are not binding but they send a clear message to investors that in the long term economies will have to be powered by clean energy The world s leaders have effectively signalled the end of the fossil fuel era that has driven economies since the Industrial Revolution The coal boom choking China The Guardian UK Chinese miners last year dug up 3 87bn tonnes of coal more than enough to keep all four of the next largest users the United States India the European Union and Russia supplied for a year The country is grappling with the direct costs of that coal in miners lives crippling air pollution expanding deserts and environmental refugees Desire for change contends with fears that cutting back on familiar technology could dent employment or slow growth and efforts to cut consumption do not always mean a clampdown on mining Delayed gratification for OPEC more pain for investors Kurt Cobb Delayed gratification is said to be a sign of maturity By that standard OPEC at age 55 demonstrated its maturity this week as it left oil production quotas for its members unchanged Why OPEC members chose to leave their oil output unchanged is no mystery The explicit purpose for keeping oil prices depressed is to close down U S oil production from deep shale deposits production that soared when oil hovered around 100 a barrel but which is largely uneconomic at current prices That production was starting to threaten OPEC s market share Over the barrel For a low carbon path Vikram S Mehta The Financial Express The government s policy pronouncements over the past year have thrown into sharp relief the conflict between its energy policy and its green

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/06/09/news-update-55/ (2016-05-02)
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  • Prayas looking for Energy Policy Researchers at Pune – Ecologise
    December 2015 31 November 2015 29 October 2015 19 September 2015 12 August 2015 13 July 2015 9 June 2015 11 May 2015 13 April 2015 12 March 2015 16 February 2015 17 January 2015 10 December 2014 10 November 2014 10 October 2014 10 September 2014 11 August 2014 7 July 2014 5 June 2014 7 May 2014 2 April 2014 3 March 2014 4 February 2014 1 January 2014 2 December 2013 3 November 2013 2 October 2013 8 Upcoming Events Webinar on Groundtruthing at online event Groundtruthing gathers information that connects regulatory requirements with actual impacts development has on people Resource person Kanchi Kohli Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 12th May 2016 12th May 2016 Rainwater Harvesting Workshop at Hyderabad Understand and combat Hyderabad s water problems through rain water harvesting Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 15th May 2016 15th May 2016 Thought for Food at Palampur Himachal Pradesh Workshop on eating responsibly sharing strategies and tools for doing so Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 18th May 2016 22nd May 2016 Two short courses on Development at Azim Premji University Bangalore Designed for professionals working in various domains of development Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 24th May 2016 3rd June 2016 View All Events Special Features Prayas looking for Energy Policy Researchers at Pune Written by Contributor Jun 5 2015 0 Comments Prayas Energy Group Prayas Energy Group or PEG is a leading energy policy research and advocacy organization based in Pune known for its analysis based policy advocacy Based on a rigorous analytical approach backed by policy and institutional innovation PEG actively intervenes in regulatory and policy spheres in the energy sector with the objective of promoting public interest goals such as making energy available and accessible to all making governance institutions accountable to their mandates making the energy system socially and environmentally sustainable and ensuring viability of the energy sector PEG s publications are widely respected in policy industry academic as well as civil society circles PEG is often invited by ministries international agencies and civil society groups to participate in committees and other PEG works on various program themes across the energy sector such as electricity generation and supply renewable energy energy efficiency and energy resources and development The work in all themes involves analysis innovation outreach intervention and advocacy at state and national levels You can find more about PEG and its work at www prayaspune org

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/06/05/prayas-looking-for-energy-policy-researchers-at-pune/ (2016-05-02)
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  • The IMF’s “shocking” estimate of fossil fuel costs: There’s more to the story – Ecologise
    Japan 157bn and the European Union 330bn The paper highlights some important trends For example health costs associated with local pollution still accounts for the biggest share even more than global warming A related trend shows that coal by far the most polluting of fossil fuels gets the least in terms of government subsidies but accounts for the largest share of hidden costs Underlining the significance of these findings Dr Bhamy V Shenoy oil industry veteran and former senior advisor to the Center for Energy Economics University of Texas says These numbers show us that if actual costs are counted fossil fuels will be far more expensive than renewables and that is the biggest argument against their continued use The IMF paper calls for governments to remove fossil fuel subsidies altogether and also raise prices to cover some of the hidden costs A closer look at the IMF s numbers However a closer look reveal several problems with the paper s methodology For example calculating fossil fuel costs nation wise in a global economy doesn t make much sense So while we learn that China accounts for most hidden costs the fact that it also produces half the world s steel and cement apart from consumer goods is not mentioned In response to a query IMF staffer and co author of the paper Baoping Shang justified this saying they have provided national figures because energy prices are set by individual governments He also points out that the bulk of the costs for eg Air pollution is the biggest are local But invariably such technicalities tend to get ignored in the media frenzy to apportion blame Likewise the same costs calculated per capita would give a more accurate picture still more so if calculated separately for different income groups Shang admits that it would be useful to present some results in per capita terms but justifies the analysis saying that the intention was to present the magnitude of the energy subsidies Also the larger question of historical costs whether in terms of official subsidies or hidden costs is not mentioned at all The fact is that accounting for these factors would make for a much more accurate and very different picture of who is responsible for fossil fuel costs What the experts say Experts this reporter spoke to called attention to other aspects of the issue For Sagar Dhara of Hyderabad based energy and environment think tank Cerana Foundation the main issue was the timing For at least two decades environmentalists have been urging agencies like the IMF to factor in the true costs of economic decisions to cover environmental and social impacts If the IMF has woken up only now there s a reason to it he says Dhara elaborates We are about to witness a breakthrough for renewables with wind power almost matching fossil fuels in price and solar PV fast catching up Many governments including India are actively promoting renewable energy The IMF which has funded coal power

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/06/04/fossil-fuels/ (2016-05-02)
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  • Sajai Jose – Ecologise
    extreme weather events food security fossil fuels future scenarios Gail Tverberg global economy green politics India inequality Kurt Cobb Narendra Modi government neoliberalism oil prices organic farming Paris climate talks peak oil Renewable energy resource depletion resource extraction Richard Heinberg rural India Sagar Dhara Sustainability Transition videos water crisis weather patterns Archives Archives Select Month May 2016 4 April 2016 51 March 2016 46 February 2016 31 January 2016 27 December 2015 31 November 2015 29 October 2015 19 September 2015 12 August 2015 13 July 2015 9 June 2015 11 May 2015 13 April 2015 12 March 2015 16 February 2015 17 January 2015 10 December 2014 10 November 2014 10 October 2014 10 September 2014 11 August 2014 7 July 2014 5 June 2014 7 May 2014 2 April 2014 3 March 2014 4 February 2014 1 January 2014 2 December 2013 3 November 2013 2 October 2013 8 Upcoming Events Webinar on Groundtruthing at online event Groundtruthing gathers information that connects regulatory requirements with actual impacts development has on people Resource person Kanchi Kohli 12th May 2016 12th May 2016 Rainwater Harvesting Workshop at Hyderabad Understand and combat Hyderabad s water problems through rain water harvesting 15th May 2016 15th May 2016 Thought for Food at Palampur Himachal Pradesh Workshop on eating responsibly sharing strategies and tools for doing so 18th May 2016 22nd May 2016 Two short courses on Development at Azim Premji University Bangalore Designed for professionals working in various domains of development 24th May 2016 3rd June 2016 View All Events Special Features About Sajai Jose Sajai Jose is a freelance writer and editor based in Bangalore You can reach him at sajaijose poi gmail com Posts by Sajai Jose India is now a make or break nation for climate change and the planet s future Written by Sajai Jose Aug 22 2015 0 Comments CLIMATE CHANGE INDIA India s coal dependence has led to rising emissions Now even the Chief Economic Advisor has acknowledged that India needs to cut down on them Sajai Jose A new global report has revealed that India s carbon dioxide emissions growth in 2014 was not only the largest in terms of volume in its own history but for the first time Continue Reading India Make Or Break Player For Climate Change Written by Sajai Jose Jul 18 2015 0 Comments CLIMATE CHANGE INDIA Sajai Jose Earlier this month the U N s climate chief Christina Figueres told the media that an Indian pledge to voluntarily cut carbon emissions is critically important to any meaningful agreement at a crucial UN climate summit in Paris in December As IndiaSpend reported recently India has bucked a global trend of declining CO2 emissions to emerge as the world s fastest growing Continue Reading Why the Greek Tragedy is Just the Opening Act Written by Sajai Jose Jul 6 2015 0 Comments ECONOMY Finance Debt INDIA Sajai Jose Alexis Tsipras the first Left Greek Prime Minister Credit SpaceShoe Flickr CC 2 0

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/author/sajai-jose/ (2016-05-02)
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  • News update – Ecologise
    on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 12th May 2016 12th May 2016 Rainwater Harvesting Workshop at Hyderabad Understand and combat Hyderabad s water problems through rain water harvesting Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 15th May 2016 15th May 2016 Thought for Food at Palampur Himachal Pradesh Workshop on eating responsibly sharing strategies and tools for doing so Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 18th May 2016 22nd May 2016 Two short courses on Development at Azim Premji University Bangalore Designed for professionals working in various domains of development Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 24th May 2016 3rd June 2016 View All Events Special Features News update Written by Ecologise Jun 2 2015 0 Comments The heat and the death toll are rising in India Is this a glimpse of Earth s future The Guardian UK India is struggling to cope with one of the deadliest heatwaves to hit the subcontinent And its attempt to do so is raising a question for the whole planet how can humans cope with the kinds of temperatures that scientists fear may become ever more common Related Ahmedabad s Heat Action Plan Indian government to review hydroelectric dams in two river basins The Guardian UK An 11 member expert committee recommended that 23 dams on the Alaknanda and Bhagirathi rivers the two main tributaries of the Ganga be scrapped Builders of six dams in the upper Ganga basin asked the court to allow their projects to proceed The six were among the 23 vetoed dams Instead of accepting the expert committee s advice the court asked for a review committee to specifically examine the environmental clearances given to these six dams Indian leadership on climate change Punching above its weight Samir Saran and Vivan Sharan Brookings Institution In the global discourse on climate change India often gets singled out for resisting mitigation action and for its reliance on fossil fuels such as coal In this paper we argue that in addition to the efforts directed toward coping with and adapting to climate impacts e g recent floods in Kashmir and monsoon failure in 2014 India is also punching above its weight on mitigation Direct Actions Across UK Disrupt Fossil Fuel Business As Usual Common Dreams Anti drilling activists across England sent a powerful message on Monday with a series of direct actions protesting the Cameron government s promotion of false solutions such as fracking and the industries that are profiting in the face of runaway climate change Among the 18 targets on Monday were public

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/06/02/news-update-54/ (2016-05-02)
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  • Letter to concerned ministers on fossil fuel subsidies – Ecologise
    very important analysis shatters the myth that fossil fuels are cheap by showing just how huge their real costs are There is no justification for these enormous subsidies for fossil fuels which distort markets and damages economies particularly in poorer countries Sir Nicholas Stern had made similar observations many years ago in his seminal work The Economics of Climate Change way back in 2005 He had said Emissions have been and continue to be driven by economic growth yet stabilisation of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere is feasible and consistent with continued growth www wwf se source php Stern 20Report Exec 20Summary pdf It should be a matter of concern that India with estimated subsidy of 277 billions per year is among the top four countries with such heavy subsidies Ending such subsidies is expected to slash the number of premature deaths from outdoor air pollution by 50 about 1 6 million lives a year at the global level A study by Conservation Action Trust and Urban Emissions Pvt Ltd in 2014 has found significant impacts from the existing fleet of coal fired power plants in India including between 80 000 and 115 000 deaths annually due to exposure linked their particulate emissions in 2011 12 The latest analysis of the related issues by Sir Nicholas Stern in the context of IMF report is as in the link below Dirty air and disease why we must end the subsidy of fossil fuels http www theguardian com commentisfree 2015 may 20 dirty air disease end subsidy fossil fuels imf Among other things Sir Nicholas Stern says So the costs of fossil fuels are paid through the death and illness of present and future generations That is why it is so important to create a level playing field for alternative energy sources and help to propel our economies away from their dependence on dirty and expensive fossil fuels To achieve this direct subsidies for the production and consumption of oil coal and gas must end But governments must also start to implement policies that properly price in the hidden costs of fossil fuels This is what a low carbon transition means for the world and it could unleash a period of innovation and creativity that would drive prosperity and growth in rich and poor countries alike A welfare society cannot afford to ignore such economic and social issues even if it does not care adequately for environmental issues A serious consequence of removing such vulgar subsidies would be that the need for subsidies for renewable energy a relatively tiny 120bn a year would also disappear if fossil fuel prices reflected the full cost of their impacts It goes without saying that coal sector in India is a major beneficiary of such a level of unscientific and unsustainable subsidies It should also be a matter of great concern to a welfare society that much of such subsidies are reaching a tiny section of rich and upper middle class people despite the fact

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/05/31/shankar-sharma-letter-to-concerned-ministers-on-fossil-fuel-subsidies/ (2016-05-02)
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  • Sustainable Development: Stories from those making it possible – Ecologise
    that connects regulatory requirements with actual impacts development has on people Resource person Kanchi Kohli Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 12th May 2016 12th May 2016 Rainwater Harvesting Workshop at Hyderabad Understand and combat Hyderabad s water problems through rain water harvesting Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 15th May 2016 15th May 2016 Thought for Food at Palampur Himachal Pradesh Workshop on eating responsibly sharing strategies and tools for doing so Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 18th May 2016 22nd May 2016 Two short courses on Development at Azim Premji University Bangalore Designed for professionals working in various domains of development Share this Click to share on Twitter Opens in new window Click to share on Facebook Opens in new window Click to share on Google Opens in new window 24th May 2016 3rd June 2016 View All Events Special Features Sustainable Development Stories from those making it possible Written by Contributor May 30 2015 1 Comment A publication by FLEDGE Chennai From the Preface While a large amount of time and energy is spent on deciding the future of sustainability using the Rio 20 outcome document The Future We Want limited space is available for local communities to tell their stories on how simple on the ground initiatives are being pursued enabling them to secure their livelihoods In the absence of our ability to listen to the experiences from the ground informed policy making and setting the agendas related to SDGs would be weakened In the process of looking out for the case studies and experiences on how community based interventions could provide long term solutions for sustainable development we came across a number of inspirational stories that range from simple interventions to secure income for local people though value addition to biodiversity to house hold actions to secure food and nutrition In this publication we have made an attempt to collate the experiences of a range of communities in using biological resources as basis for securing livelihoods and moving towards the path of local level development supported by a number of spirited Non Governmental Organizations in India One important undercurrent to the compilation is that for development to happen one need to innovate but innovate according to the needs of the local people Contents Food and Environmental Security of Tribals and Small Farmers Ecological restoration and landscape management of degraded Sacred Groves BAIF s Community led initiative for Agribiodiversity Conservation in Maharashtra Marine turtle conservation and awareness through community participation Organic indigenous rice varieties and value added products as a conservation strategy and livelihoods enhancement Putting

    Original URL path: http://www.ecologise.in/2015/05/30/sustainable-development-stories-from-those-making-it-possible/ (2016-05-02)
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